Mercury Music Prize. The xx are far too well-established/mainstream to take this so it could well be between Corinne Bailey Rae and Laura Marling - I think Marling'll get it by a nose. However, someone who'd know seems to think that I Am Kloot have it in the bag.
The Turner Prize. Though I failed to get myself into a bookies on the day of the nominations, I still think that Angela de la Cruz will win, despite the smart money being on Susan Philipsz' site specific sonics.
However, I'm not great at this game.